Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56e7…c36f
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -27.4% -34.3% 50% 50% -13.3%
≤30d 10 -27.4% -34.3% 50% 50% -13.3%
≤90d 10 -27.4% -34.3% 50% 50% -13.3%
all 10 -27.4% -34.3% 50% 50% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.3% 50% -13.3%
10% -40.6% 40% -21.6%
15% -46.3% 20% -29.2%
20% -51.6% 20% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 20 history records