Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:44:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
56 0x56e3…ffec crypto 934 markets active 6d ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$587 (-8%) realized −$587 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate48%452W / 482L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day118.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$44
14 days−$107
30 days−$842
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$842
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (119 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -33.4% -39.7% 40% 33% -28.1%
≤30d 934 -11.0% -19.5% 48% 36% -20.6%
≤90d 934 -11.0% -19.5% 48% 36% -20.6%
all 934 -11.0% -19.5% 48% 36% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 36% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 29% -28.2%
15% -34.2% 25% -35.1%
20% -40.7% 21% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$587
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses452 / 482
Open positions0
Markets (closed)934 / 934
History coverage19d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day118.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 934 Trades
no open positions (300 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$6 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2570 history records