trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 67% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | +7.5% | -2.7% | 18% | 9% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.7% | 9% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -12.0% | 9% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -20.5% | 9% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -28.3% | 9% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 20-26? | May 25 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 30-April 5? | Apr 22 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Feb 27 | $3 | +$2 | +79% |
| Nets vs. Pelicans | Jan 15 | $11 | +$12 | +113% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 10 | $368 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? | Jan 10 | $321 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 10 | $372 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 09 | $367 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 09 | $361 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 08 | $367 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 08 | $325 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 08 | $349 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 07 | $351 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 07 | $333 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 07 | $361 | $0 | -0% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Jan 06 | $12 | −$3 | -25% |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jan 06 | $371 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 06 | $348 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 04 | $348 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Dec 30 | $394 | $0 | -0% |