Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:42:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56e1…3a24
other · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$94 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses17 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)248 / 249
History coverage128d
Avg bet$211
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 1 History 248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$22
14 days−$33
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? No 98¢ 98¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $323 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $221 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $306 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 12 $190 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $125 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $748 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $57 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $593 −$4 -1%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $131 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $419 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $135 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 10 $247 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $449 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 10 $264 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $123 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $493 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $58 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $663 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $357 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $124 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $156 $0 +0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $59 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $238 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $778 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $422 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $280 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $474 −$2 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $304 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $60 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $213 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $203 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $848 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $527 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $367 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $209 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $282 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $536 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $466 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $62 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $357 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $353 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $605 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $135 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $257 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $193 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $148 −$2 -2%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $70 $0 -1%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $512 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $144 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$32
sports 22% −$17
politics 9% −$7
crypto 7% −$8
economics 7% −$14
culture 6% −$7
world 4% −$7
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $56 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $56 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $56 3h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $56 10h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $56 11h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $56 14h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $56 16h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $56 16h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $57 17h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $57 23h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $57 24h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 27h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 29h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $57 33h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $57 35h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 40h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 42h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $57 43h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $57 45h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $57 46h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 2d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $57 2d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $57 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $8 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $49 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $57 3d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $58 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 68 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 184 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 248 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.99 · official $55.99 (match) · 1320 history records