trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 42% | 42% | -32.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -26.1% | -33.1% | 38% | 38% | -31.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -26.1% | -33.1% | 38% | 38% | -31.9% |
| all | 13 | -26.1% | -33.1% | 38% | 38% | -31.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.1% | 38% | -31.9% |
| 10% | -39.5% | 38% | -38.4% |
| 15% | -45.4% | 23% | -44.3% |
| 20% | -50.7% | 15% | -49.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England to score first vs. Croatia? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $30 | $35 | +$5 (+16%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$23 | +228% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Haiti to score first vs. Scotland? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Switzerland leading at halftime? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -9% |