trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +59.5% | +44.3% | 100% | 100% | +44.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +27.7% | +15.5% | 67% | 67% | +4.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 75% | 50% | -15.1% |
| all | 22 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 77% | 32% | -15.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 32% | -15.3% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 23% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 14% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 9% | -37.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | Iraq | 66¢ | 64¢ | $105 | $102 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $107 | +$63 | +60% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 10 | $55 | +$68 | +124% |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Jun 02 | $93 | −$92 | -99% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff | May 25 | $97 | +$33 | +34% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 19 | $126 | +$57 | +46% |
| Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Play | May 13 | $179 | −$177 | -99% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 13 | $116 | +$22 | +19% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 04 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | May 04 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, | May 04 | $32 | +$1 | +4% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 04 | $72 | +$18 | +26% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 27 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 23 | $12 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 05 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Mar 05 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 09 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 09 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | Feb 09 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | Feb 09 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | Jan 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? | Jan 07 | $17 | $0 | +0% |