trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 21 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Clara Tauson be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 22 | $1,270 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? | Jun 22 | $1,211 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 21 | $152 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 18 | $153 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 17 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Apr 16 | $151 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 16 | $203 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | Apr 16 | $153 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 15 | $153 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 11 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 11 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Apr 03 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 03 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Mar 30 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 30 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Mar 30 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 25 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 25 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 25 | $22 | $0 | -0% |