trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 26 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 27 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 20 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 23 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship? | Dec 18 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 22 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 25 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jul 16 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025? | Jun 14 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Southampton wins the Premier League? | Jun 14 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| West Ham United wins the Premier League? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 15 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -29% |
| Newcastle United wins the Premier League? | Dec 13 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025? | Nov 28 | $0 | $0 | -100% |