Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5687…8c8b
other · 75 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses24 / 44
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)68 / 75
History coverage168d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 7 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+63%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+26%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jacob Fearnley 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-04? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-29? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $4 $0 -11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +172%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -15%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $2 $0 -21%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perric May 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $1 −$1 -65%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $11 −$11 -99%
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? May 04 $2 −$2 -74%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $6 +$5 +89%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 04 $6 +$4 +73%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Apr 28 $1 −$1 -94%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Apr 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$2 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Apr 19 $3 −$3 -93%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? Jan 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Jan 07 $2 +$3 +158%
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $1 $0 -0%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $7 $0 -6%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Jan 06 $6 −$4 -73%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06? Jan 06 $11 $0 +2%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06? Jan 06 $4 +$3 +72%
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06? Jan 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06? Jan 06 $2 +$2 +99%
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05? Jan 05 $1 +$2 +185%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $2 −$1 -50%
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $2 +$3 +136%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $8 +$2 +28%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $1 −$1 -87%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $1 +$1 +122%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $3 −$2 -73%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $11 +$5 +48%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $5 +$3 +54%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $2 −$2 -83%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $6 +$5 +88%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $3 −$2 -78%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $3 $0 -3%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $4 $0 -3%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? Jan 01 $10 −$7 -69%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01? Jan 01 $7 −$4 -64%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01? Jan 01 $4 −$2 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% +$6
sports 7% −$10
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 18h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 55¢ $3 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 33h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 33h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 33h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 2d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 3d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 3d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 3d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 3d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 3d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 3d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 3d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perric BUY Jacob Fearnley 83¢ $2 37d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 39d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 39d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 72¢ $6 39d
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 39d
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 39d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 39d
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 39d
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 52¢ $6 40d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +7.9% -2.4% 33% 33% -6.4%
≤30d 6 +7.9% -2.4% 33% 33% -6.4%
≤90d 17 -20.7% -28.2% 29% 29% -25.7%
all 68 -7.6% -16.4% 35% 34% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 34% -11.1%
10% -24.4% 34% -19.7%
15% -31.7% 31% -27.4%
20% -38.4% 28% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.88 · official $20.88 (match) · 154 history records