Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:55:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5675…f6a6
crypto · 260 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,363 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,362 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$102
Realized−$7,362
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses122 / 137
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$116
Open positions1
Markets (closed)259 / 260
History coverage96d
Avg bet$184
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 259 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$3,194
14 days−$4,396
30 days−$7,490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 73¢ 72¢ $103 $102 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 14 $40 −$3 -8%
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $26 −$1 -3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $751 −$23 -3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 11 $999 −$36 -4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 11 $14 −$1 -5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $322 −$10 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $136 −$2 -2%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? Jun 11 $47 +$1 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $1,019 −$233 -23%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $608 −$10 -2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 11 $1,092 −$64 -6%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 11 $7 $0 -3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $214 −$41 -19%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $417 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $286 −$21 -7%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 11 $11 −$1 -8%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 11 $22 −$1 -3%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 11 $138 −$8 -6%
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Jun 11 $369 +$1 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $631 +$4 +1%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 11 $17 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $12 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $83 −$10 -12%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? Jun 11 $32 −$1 -4%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Jun 11 $60 −$11 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $97 −$4 -5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $1,527 −$44 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 11 $99 −$14 -14%
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? Jun 11 $56 −$2 -4%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 11 $56 −$5 -9%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? Jun 11 $24 $0 +2%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $358 +$5 +1%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Jun 11 $47 +$1 +2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 11 $360 +$5 +1%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 11 $577 −$112 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $43 +$1 +1%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 10 $830 −$76 -9%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$1 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $676 −$52 -8%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 10 $3 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -56%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 10 $605 −$14 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $64 +$1 +1%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 10 $541 +$6 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $27 −$3 -10%
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 09 $424 −$63 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 27% −$2,897
world 26% −$536
crypto 21% −$45
sports 10% −$1,931
other 9% −$1,724
finance 5% −$157
weather 2% −$68
tech 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 73¢ $103 33m
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 33¢ $36 1h
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 36¢ $40 1h
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 33¢ $9 1h
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 33¢ $16 1h
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $26 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 33¢ $65 34h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $7 34h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $74 34h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 80¢ $963 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL No 38¢ $13 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 39¢ $14 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 83¢ $390 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 83¢ $609 2d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? SELL No 32¢ $312 2d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 33¢ $322 2d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 46¢ $133 2d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 45¢ $136 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 45¢ $2 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 2d
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? SELL No 59¢ $3 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? BUY No 59¢ $3 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 63¢ $656 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 65¢ $677 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 58¢ $598 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 59¢ $608 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $506 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 52¢ $522 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 54¢ $546 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -4.5% -13.6% 28% 9% -20.9%
≤30d 138 -8.1% -16.9% 27% 9% -26.1%
≤90d 213 -6.5% -15.4% 40% 18% -25.4%
all 259 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 23% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 23% -23.5%
10% -20.8% 16% -30.8%
15% -28.4% 10% -37.5%
20% -35.4% 7% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $101.82 · official $101.82 (match) · 1533 history records