Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5672…7312
sports · 251 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48,045 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47,965 · open −$80
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,952
Realized−$47,965
Unrealized−$80
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses134 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$1,847
Open positions4
Markets (closed)367 / 251
History coverage7d
Avg bet$632
Trades / day450.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55,245
7 days−$47,691
14 days−$47,965
30 days−$47,965
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $920 $930 +$10 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 38¢ $760 $770 +$10 (+1%)
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 57¢ 100¢ $144 $252 +$108 (+75%)
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-98%)
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner FALKE Esports 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner G2 Ares 33¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 38¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 25¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 48¢ 0¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $497 $0 −$497 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 66¢ 0¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $259 $0 −$259 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 38¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 35¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Vici Gaming 25¢ 0¢ $693 $0 −$693 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 66¢ 0¢ $1,323 $0 −$1,323 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 47¢ 0¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 72¢ 0¢ $931 $0 −$931 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 12 $69 −$61 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $497 −$497 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $259 −$259 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers Jun 12 $82 +$74 +90%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $693 −$693 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Jun 12 $1,323 −$1,323 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $540 −$540 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jun 12 $920 −$920 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $465 −$465 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $887 −$887 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $1,286 −$1,286 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $1,222 −$1,222 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1,900 −$1,900 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,340 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $978 −$978 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $126 −$120 -96%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 12 $38 +$168 +440%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $238 −$234 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $828 −$828 -100%
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks Jun 12 $758 −$758 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Jun 12 $1,280 −$1,280 -100%
76ers vs. Celtics Jun 12 $866 −$866 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $471 −$471 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger Ch Jun 12 $1,390 −$1,390 -100%
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $1,045 −$1,045 -100%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5 Jun 12 $33 −$19 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$5,497
other 1% −$1,014
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $194 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $935 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $581 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $113 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $128 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $77 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 32¢ $33 3h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 96¢ $192 3h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 7¢ $5 3h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 92¢ $184 3h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 19¢ $13 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $53 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $537 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 88¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 25¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $45 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 77¢ $78 4h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 85¢ $171 4h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 7¢ $6 4h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 94¢ $30 4h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 10¢ $8 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 64¢ $13 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 60¢ $3 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 75¢ $19 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 60¢ $2 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 66¢ $11 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $32 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 21¢ $7 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 21¢ $35 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 63¢ $8 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 358 -30.1% -36.7% 37% 29% -30.6%
≤30d 367 -24.9% -32.1% 37% 29% -30.8%
≤90d 367 -24.9% -32.1% 37% 29% -30.8%
all 367 -24.9% -32.1% 37% 29% -30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover450.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.1% 29% -30.8%
10% -38.6% 24% -37.4%
15% ← realistic here -44.5% 18% -43.5%
20% -50.0% 11% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,952.47 · official $1,952.47 (match) · 3500 history records