trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +49.9% | +35.6% | 88% | 88% | +54.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +49.9% | +35.6% | 88% | 88% | +54.0% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +28.5% | +16.3% | 68% | 63% | +34.0% |
| all | 28 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 57% | 46% | +12.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.5% | 46% | +12.7% |
| 10% | -10.9% | 36% | +1.9% |
| 15% | -19.5% | 32% | -7.9% |
| 20% | -27.4% | 25% | -17.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 48¢ | 99¢ | $241 | $493 | +$252 (+104%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 59¢ | $200 | $224 | +$24 (+12%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 53¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $21 | $19 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 40¢ | 2¢ | $240 | $13 | −$227 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $170 | +$148 | +87% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $100 | +$132 | +132% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 24 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $203 | +$113 | +56% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $188 | +$100 | +53% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$52 | +103% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $71 | +$34 | +48% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15? | Apr 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election | Apr 14 | $73 | +$18 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14? | Apr 14 | $30 | +$96 | +321% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 13? | Apr 13 | $20 | −$18 | -91% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13? | Apr 13 | $27 | −$7 | -24% |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seat | Apr 11 | $100 | +$60 | +60% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 11? | Apr 11 | $6 | −$3 | -45% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 11? | Apr 11 | $5 | −$3 | -67% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 04 | $100 | +$43 | +43% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $181 | +$32 | +18% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 28 | $200 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 18 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 18 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Mar 15 | $95 | −$11 | -11% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamen | Mar 12 | $100 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representa | Mar 10 | $86 | +$14 | +17% |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15? | Mar 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Mar 06 | $82 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | Mar 05 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 05 | $499 | +$13 | +3% |