Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x565c…519e
crypto · 16 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
+$1,178 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,178 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,178
7 days+$1,178
14 days+$1,178
30 days+$1,178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 49¢ $17,500 $0 −$17,500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 47¢ $25,000 $0 −$25,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 43¢ $12,500 $0 −$12,500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 60¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 57¢ $755 $0 −$755 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 40¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $9,964 +$36 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,200 +$800 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,956 +$2,077 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $785 +$960 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3,034 +$4,771 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $778 −$755 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $813 +$676 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $12,953 −$12,500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $15,540 +$17,758 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $25,894 −$25,000 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $18,122 −$17,500 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $22,756 +$17,506 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $12,422 +$11,710 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $760 +$660 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,178
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +19.3% +7.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
≤30d 16 +19.3% +7.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
≤90d 16 +19.3% +7.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
all 16 +19.3% +7.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover732.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.9% 56% -8.7%
10% -2.4% 56% -17.4%
15% ← realistic here -11.9% 56% -25.4%
20% -20.5% 56% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 742 history records