trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 9% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 15 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Jun 12 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | May 30 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $83 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 11 | $83 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 13 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 08 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 31 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 18 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 15 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $85 | $0 | +0% |