trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 18 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.1% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.8% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,379 | $1,378 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $608 | $608 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $176 | $176 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $149 | $149 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | Jun 26 | $2,306 | +$10 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 23 | $2,304 | +$2 | +0% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $2,295 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $2,278 | +$16 | +1% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $2,262 | +$16 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | Jun 01 | $2,256 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 23 | $2,254 | +$2 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 19 | $2,252 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 15 | $2,233 | +$18 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | May 13 | $2,220 | +$14 | +1% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | May 12 | $2,207 | +$13 | +1% |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur b | May 05 | $2,202 | +$4 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | May 01 | $2,198 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 29 | $2,182 | +$15 | +1% |
| Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this | Apr 20 | $2,178 | +$4 | +0% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 10 | $2,165 | +$13 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 06 | $2,143 | +$22 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 19 | $2,135 | +$9 | +0% |