trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 50% | 44% | -12.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 50% | 44% | -12.6% |
| ≤90d | 39 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 69% | 44% | -10.9% |
| all | 98 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 60% | 42% | -18.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.5% | 42% | -18.1% |
| 10% | -27.2% | 29% | -25.9% |
| 15% | -34.2% | 13% | -33.1% |
| 20% | -40.7% | 8% | -39.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $13 | $25 | +$12 (+96%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$8 | +249% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +58% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$10 | +94% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$5 | +250% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Apr 05 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Apr 05 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Apr 05 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Bucks vs. Suns | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Apr 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Apr 02 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Apr 02 | $2 | +$2 | +104% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 29 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 29 | $2 | +$1 | +28% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Mar 27 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Mar 26 | $2 | +$1 | +30% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Mar 22 | $2 | $0 | +25% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 21 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Mar 21 | $3 | $0 | +16% |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Mar 18 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Mar 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Mar 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Suns | Mar 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Mar 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20? | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Mar 16 | $2 | −$1 | -48% |
| Thunder vs. Bulls | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |