Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:30:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
56 0x5638…7fe0 crypto 969 markets active 6d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (186 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$294 (-6%) realized −$294 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate54%519W / 450L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day185.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$79
14 days−$256
30 days−$392
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$392
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (186 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -19.1% -26.8% 49% 43% -21.4%
≤30d 969 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 48% -16.3%
≤90d 969 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 48% -16.3%
all 969 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 48% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover185.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 48% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 44% -24.3%
15% -29.0% 38% -31.7%
20% -35.9% 37% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$294
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses519 / 450
Open positions0
Markets (closed)969 / 969
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day185.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 969 Trades
no open positions (389 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$10 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2123 history records