Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:10:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
56 0x5637…8692 sports 136 markets active 2h ago coverage 35d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$565 (-10%) realized −$565 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +34% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +12% what you keep after slip
Net edge+12%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate64%87W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day9.5pace
Fees−$71est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$18
14 days−$134
30 days−$493
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$609
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +8.4% -1.9% 67% 43% -8.3%
≤30d 133 +37.4% +24.3% 65% 56% -17.8%
≤90d 136 +34.3% +21.5% 64% 54% -19.7%
all 136 +34.3% +21.5% 64% 54% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +21.5% 54% -19.7%
10% +9.9% 32% -27.4%
15% -0.7% 20% -34.4%
20% -10.4% 10% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +34% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +67% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$25 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$565
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses87 / 49
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)136 / 136
History coverage35d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 136 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova Jun 17 $30 +$6 +21%
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 17 $30 +$2 +6%
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse Jun 17 $30 +$6 +18%
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 17 $91 +$10 +11%
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 16 $31 +$3 +10%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Jun 16 $131 −$4 -3%
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 16 $30 −$3 -10%
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 16 $20 +$3 +14%
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys Jun 16 $51 +$3 +6%
Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner Tien Jun 16 $50 +$1 +2%
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 15 $50 +$10 +21%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $50 +$7 +13%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $101 +$31 +31%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $188 +$9 +5%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $142 +$4 +3%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $10 −$9 -84%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $20 +$2 +12%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $10 −$6 -56%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $61 +$11 +18%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $30 −$2 -8%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $20 +$7 +34%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 10 $106 −$49 -46%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 10 $15 +$3 +21%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $20 +$12 +57%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $18 +$3 +19%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $10 +$1 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $20 +$8 +38%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $10 +$5 +50%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $10 +$5 +52%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $13 −$2 -13%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $10 +$5 +53%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $20 −$7 -34%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $10 +$5 +51%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $25 +$3 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $81 +$10 +12%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $15 +$15 +101%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaeva Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 07 $30 −$9 -28%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $30 +$6 +20%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Jun 06 $10 −$4 -43%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 05 $18 +$7 +38%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva Jun 05 $10 +$3 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego SELL Ben Shelton 89¢ $31 2h
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego BUY Ben Shelton 84¢ $30 2h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova BUY Jessica Pegula 82¢ $30 3h
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse SELL Brandon Nakashima 92¢ $36 3h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala SELL Alexandra Eala 94¢ $36 4h
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse BUY Brandon Nakashima 77¢ $30 4h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 79¢ $30 4h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala SELL Alexandra Eala 64¢ $34 5h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 57¢ $30 5h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala SELL Alexandra Eala 50¢ $31 5h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 46¢ $30 5h
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 44¢ $1 21h
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 50¢ $33 21h
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 44¢ $31 21h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo SELL Alex de Minaur 91¢ $1 23h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo SELL Alex de Minaur 91¢ $54 23h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 85¢ $50 23h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo SELL Alex de Minaur 83¢ $56 23h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 73¢ $50 23h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo SELL Gabriel Diallo 19¢ $17 24h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Gabriel Diallo 33¢ $31 24h
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic SELL Miomir Kecmanovic 62¢ $0 24h
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic SELL Miomir Kecmanovic 67¢ $27 24h
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic BUY Miomir Kecmanovic 73¢ $30 24h
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Yannick Hanfmann 58¢ $1 27h
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Yannick Hanfmann 59¢ $22 27h
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Yannick Hanfmann 50¢ $20 27h
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys SELL Magdalena Frech 57¢ $1 29h
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys SELL Magdalena Frech 58¢ $53 29h
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys BUY Magdalena Frech 53¢ $51 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.00 (match) · 407 history records