Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:05:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5635…d2c6
crypto · 137 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$45 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$46
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses118 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)136 / 137
History coverage23d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 1 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$10
14 days−$31
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 31 $2 +$3 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 31 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 31 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET May 31 $21 +$15 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 31 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 29 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 29 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 29 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 29 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 29 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 29 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 29 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 28 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 28 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 28 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 28 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 28 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 28 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 28 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 28 $2 −$1 -49%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 28 $31 −$31 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 28 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 28 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 28 $30 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% +$60
other 49% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -35.9% -42.0% 30% 30% -40.4%
≤30d 136 +2.4% -7.4% 87% 26% -7.5%
≤90d 136 +2.4% -7.4% 87% 26% -7.5%
all 136 +2.4% -7.4% 87% 26% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 26% -7.5%
10% -16.2% 15% -16.4%
15% -24.3% 12% -24.5%
20% -31.7% 12% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 268 history records