Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:16:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x562a…2ad4
crypto · 259 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$503 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$503 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$503
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses217 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)260 / 259
History coverage1d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day3241.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 260 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$503
7 days+$503
14 days+$503
30 days+$503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $364 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $124 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $135 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $464 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $55 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $141 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $359 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $464 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $465 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $156 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $219 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $304 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $349 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $166 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $364 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $466 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $163 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $235 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $364 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$503
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 +7.9% -2.4% 83% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 260 +7.9% -2.4% 83% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 260 +7.9% -2.4% 83% 0% -8.8%
all 260 +7.9% -2.4% 83% 0% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3241.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 0% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.7% 0% -17.5%
15% -20.3% 0% -25.5%
20% -28.1% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.79 · official $3.79 (match) · 3500 history records