Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:46:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5619…d1f6
crypto · 189 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,661 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,648 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$11,648
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses61 / 241
Open positions1
Markets (closed)302 / 189
History coverage10d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day331.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,671
7 days−$8,485
14 days−$11,648
30 days−$11,648
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 27¢ 2¢ $14 $1 −$13 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $281 $0 −$281 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $230 −$230 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$163 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $265 −$265 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6,723
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-55.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -56.3% -60.4% 18% 16% -65.0%
≤30d 302 -50.7% -55.4% 20% 19% -60.2%
≤90d 302 -50.7% -55.4% 20% 19% -60.2%
all 302 -50.7% -55.4% 20% 19% -60.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover331.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.4% 19% -60.2%
10% ← realistic here -59.7% 17% -64.0%
15% -63.6% 16% -67.5%
20% -67.1% 15% -70.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.04 · official $11.67 · 3500 history records