Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x5617…ea92
other · 10 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$5 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)6 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 4 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$8 +192%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% −$4
crypto 28% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 24h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 43h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 2d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 2d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 2d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +10.2% -0.3% 50% 50% +17.1%
≤30d 6 +10.2% -0.3% 50% 50% +17.1%
≤90d 6 +10.2% -0.3% 50% 50% +17.1%
all 6 +10.2% -0.3% 50% 50% +17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.3% 50% +17.1%
10% -9.8% 50% +5.9%
15% -18.5% 50% -4.3%
20% -26.5% 50% -13.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.96 · official $6.96 (match) · 16 history records