Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55e3…b615
sports · 85 markets active 3h ago
2.0score
+$182 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$284 · open −$102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$353
Realized+$284
Unrealized−$102
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses27 / 50
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions7
Markets (closed)77 / 85
History coverage6d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day20.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 7 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$283
7 days+$284
14 days+$284
30 days+$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $173 $174 +$1 (+1%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $39 $38 −$1 (-4%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 32¢ 32¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Over 76¢ 74¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) T1 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Exact Score: Denmark 1 - 2 Ukraine? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Nigeria? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Northern Ireland? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? No 59¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Exact Score: UD Almería 1 - 1 CD Castellón? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 0 Thailand? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 54¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 89¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $60 −$33 -54%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $60 +$25 +41%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $90 +$106 +119%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $111 +$99 +89%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $36 +$78 +219%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $23 −$23 -99%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 +$145 +474%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $104 +$151 +146%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $29 −$28 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -95%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $87 −$68 -78%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $249 −$248 -100%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $15 +$85 +550%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $62 +$42 +67%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria? Jun 10 $20 +$153 +785%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Nigeria? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Nigeria? Jun 10 $14 −$14 -97%
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $25 −$24 -98%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 10 $61 +$59 +97%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $60 +$83 +139%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $50 +$70 +139%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: UD Almería 1 - 1 CD Castellón? Jun 09 $19 −$19 -98%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $61 −$60 -98%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Senegal? Jun 09 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $120 −$119 -99%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $66 −$65 -99%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $46 +$109 +237%
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand? Jun 09 $40 −$39 -98%
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 0 Thailand? Jun 09 $25 −$24 -98%
Exact Score: China PR 2 - 1 Thailand? Jun 09 $25 −$24 -97%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 09 $89 +$55 +62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $91 +$100 +109%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $20 +$220 +1116%
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $20 −$19 -98%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $60 −$59 -99%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 08 $30 −$29 -98%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $30 −$29 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $40 −$39 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $104 −$103 -99%
Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Norway? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Exact Score: Greece 1 - 1 Italy? Jun 08 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 08 $91 −$91 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$169
other 32% +$409
world 1% −$33
crypto 1% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 12¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $16 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 25¢ $5 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 25¢ $27 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $5 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $30 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $50 6h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $40 7h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $30 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $85 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 32¢ $35 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $90 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? BUY Under 50¢ $30 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $60 7h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 68¢ $101 7h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 85¢ $196 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $209 10h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 21¢ $15 10h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 53¢ $114 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 54¢ $23 11h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 3¢ $14 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 BUY 8¢ $20 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $90 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $111 13h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY Yes 49¢ $50 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $45 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $36 13h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 31h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +20.8% +9.3% 35% 35% -3.4%
≤30d 77 +20.8% +9.3% 35% 35% -3.4%
≤90d 77 +20.8% +9.3% 35% 35% -3.4%
all 77 +20.8% +9.3% 35% 35% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.3% 35% -3.4%
10% ← realistic here -1.2% 35% -12.6%
15% -10.7% 34% -21.1%
20% -19.5% 30% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $352.56 · official $352.56 (match) · 152 history records