Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:11:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55e0…1141
crypto · 958 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,355 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,355 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,355
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses374 / 744
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1118 / 958
History coverage24d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day130.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,347
7 days−$3,384
14 days−$3,337
30 days−$7,355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18? Up 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$199 +7447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$50 +112112%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$10 -964%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$12 -118%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$55 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$57 +2852%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$2,169
sports 1% −$266
other 1% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $344 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $80 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $53 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 522 +10.4% -0.1% 23% 20% -37.8%
≤30d 1118 +8.6% -1.7% 33% 31% -25.2%
≤90d 1118 +8.6% -1.7% 33% 31% -25.2%
all 1118 +8.6% -1.7% 33% 31% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.7% 31% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -11.1% 28% -32.4%
15% -19.7% 25% -38.9%
20% -27.6% 22% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records