Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:03:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55e0…8f89
sports · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$54
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses11 / 15
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)26 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day79.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 1 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 27¢ 22¢ $67 $54 −$13 (-20%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 30¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 16¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Brazil leading at halftime? Yes 36¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Over 27¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $92 +$38 +42%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $93 +$37 +40%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $532 +$100 +19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $112 −$61 -54%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $175 −$170 -97%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $25 +$26 +101%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $186 +$50 +27%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $182 +$54 +29%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $42 +$8 +20%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $31 +$2 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $83 +$78 +94%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $60 −$39 -64%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -98%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 13 $59 −$58 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $82 −$2 -2%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $36 −$22 -62%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $251 +$29 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $46 +$49 +107%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -10%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $31 −$6 -19%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$227
other 27% −$234
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 18¢ $18 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $9 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 32¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 30¢ $15 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 70¢ $35 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $48 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 71¢ $22 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 71¢ $20 2h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 70¢ $57 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 30¢ $52 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $6 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $85 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $92 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $10 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes $5 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 85¢ $104 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 68¢ $91 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 68¢ $11 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $24 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 25¢ $45 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 25¢ $6 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $11 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $11 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 38% -9.3%
≤30d 26 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 38% -9.3%
≤90d 26 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 38% -9.3%
all 26 -21.6% -29.1% 42% 38% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 38% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 27% -18.0%
15% -42.1% 19% -25.9%
20% -47.8% 12% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.75 · official $71.25 · 104 history records