Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55da…6946
crypto · 1684 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1639 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1684 / 1684
History coverage15d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day233.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1684 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$38
14 days−$54
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 856 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 1684 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 1684 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 1684 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover233.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records