Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55ae…f5df
crypto · 1070 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$984 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$984 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$984
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses35 / 510
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)545 / 1070
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day352.8
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$296
7 days+$539
14 days+$984
30 days+$984
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,589
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-57.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 517 -61.0% -64.7% 6% 2% -41.5%
≤30d 545 -53.3% -57.8% 6% 2% -25.3%
≤90d 545 -53.3% -57.8% 6% 2% -25.3%
all 545 -53.3% -57.8% 6% 2% -25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover352.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.8% 2% -25.3%
10% ← realistic here -61.8% 2% -32.5%
15% -65.5% 2% -39.0%
20% -68.9% 2% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records