Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:11:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x55aa…81a6 crypto 1106 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$331 (-2%) realized −$331 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate55%605W / 501L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day94.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$83
7 days+$78
14 days−$365
30 days−$614
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$614
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 258 +10.8% +0.2% 57% 48% -8.0%
≤30d 1106 -3.1% -12.4% 55% 44% -12.4%
≤90d 1106 -3.1% -12.4% 55% 44% -12.4%
all 1106 -3.1% -12.4% 55% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 44% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 21% -20.8%
15% -28.4% 8% -28.4%
20% -35.4% 5% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses605 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1106 / 1106
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day94.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1106 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$15 +290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$9 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$17 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$7 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$29 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $31 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$29 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$7 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $13 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records