Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x55a1…db28
sports · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52,526 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59,335 · open −$13,653
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,469
Realized−$59,335
Unrealized−$13,653
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses86 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Est. fees paid−$3,676
Open positions3
Markets (closed)174 / 177
History coverage172d
Avg bet$6,676
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 3 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,667
7 days+$32,060
14 days+$30,488
30 days+$20,490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 56¢ $7,786 $8,456 +$670 (+9%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 53¢ 0¢ $8,601 $8 −$8,593 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 60¢ 0¢ $5,734 $5 −$5,730 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. 49ers 49ers 43¢ 0¢ $12,900 $0 −$12,900 (-100%)
Spread: Warriors (-8.5) Mavericks 36¢ 0¢ $504 $0 −$504 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-26? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2,120 $0 −$2,120 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) Cavaliers 51¢ 0¢ $11,474 $0 −$11,474 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 41¢ 0¢ $8,160 $0 −$8,160 (-100%)
Heat vs. Timberwolves Heat 36¢ 0¢ $11,769 $0 −$11,769 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 50¢ 0¢ $9,931 $0 −$9,931 (-100%)
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) SSC Napoli 46¢ 0¢ $12,842 $0 −$12,842 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 19¢ 0¢ $5,995 $0 −$5,995 (-100%)
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-4.5) North Carolina State Wolfpack 52¢ 0¢ $24,883 $0 −$24,883 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 43¢ 0¢ $1,110 $0 −$1,110 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $7,600 $0 −$7,600 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $12,600 $0 −$12,600 (-100%)
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5) Ohio State 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe Jaime Faria 38¢ 0¢ $1,703 $0 −$1,703 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 41¢ 0¢ $3,329 $0 −$3,329 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva Yulia Starodubtseva 23¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 19¢ 0¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Timberwolves 51¢ 0¢ $5,529 $0 −$5,529 (-100%)
Heat vs. Warriors Heat 38¢ 0¢ $4,462 $0 −$4,462 (-100%)
Spread: Rockets (-7.5) Rockets 53¢ 0¢ $3,547 $0 −$3,547 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Knicks 42¢ 0¢ $13,986 $0 −$13,986 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $10,772 +$18,682 +173%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $4,999 +$10,801 +216%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $15,064 −$14,817 -98%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,931 −$2,882 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $7,958 −$7,815 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $5,680 +$5,284 +93%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $10,318 −$10,196 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $9,996 +$5,988 +60%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $10,080 −$9,931 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5,574 +$4,415 +79%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $4,697 +$1,846 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6,102 +$4,023 +66%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $234 −$232 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $4,613 +$4,319 +94%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6,140 −$5,995 -98%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $11,213 +$10,401 +93%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $8,844 +$2,059 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $262 +$105 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2,221 +$1,276 +57%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $4,587 −$4,502 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5,544 +$4,690 +85%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,059 −$5,040 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4,392 +$2,725 +62%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2,822 −$2,820 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1,776 +$1,283 +72%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4,063 +$5,914 +146%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $3,000 +$3,000 +100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $4,048 +$3,849 +95%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3,552 +$3,448 +97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $3,330 +$2,182 +66%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $1,820 −$1,790 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $998 +$825 +83%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 06 $3,552 −$3,500 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $2,287 −$2,250 -98%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2,987 +$3,843 +129%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $2,174 −$2,130 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,741 +$3,430 +197%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $1,734 −$1,703 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $7,741 −$7,600 -98%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) May 30 $4,250 +$2,750 +65%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $8,219 −$8,160 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka May 30 $7,216 −$7,091 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $3,589 +$3,411 +95%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 30 $3,971 +$6,029 +152%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $1,273 +$1,285 +101%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $2,335 +$7,820 +335%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $1,129 −$1,110 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva May 29 $2,353 −$2,300 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $3,388 −$3,329 -98%
Pacers vs. Hawks Jan 26 $9,757 −$9,757 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$96,520
other 25% +$23,532
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $280 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $63 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $1,923 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $1,151 8m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $34 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $86 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $24 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $5 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $371 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $3 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $5 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $6 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $6 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $23 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $2,851 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $19 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $15 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $8 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $3 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $39 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $3 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $6 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $16 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $3 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $5 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $2 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $4 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $97 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $2 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $2 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +25.2% +13.3% 67% 67% +7.6%
≤30d 49 +16.6% +5.5% 57% 57% -1.5%
≤90d 49 +16.6% +5.5% 57% 57% -1.5%
all 174 +1.6% -8.1% 49% 49% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 49% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 49% -22.3%
15% -24.9% 48% -29.8%
20% -32.3% 45% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,468.74 · official $8,470.24 (match) · 2495 history records