trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 0% | 0% | -44.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 50% | 33% | -72.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 50% | 38% | -70.9% |
| all | 8 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 50% | 38% | -70.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 38% | -70.9% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 25% | -73.7% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 12% | -76.3% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 12% | -78.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $255 | $258 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $161 | $117 | −$44 (-27%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $450 | $4 | −$446 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 30 | $880 | −$344 | -39% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $515 | +$109 | +21% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $278 | −$147 | -53% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $308 | +$74 | +24% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $288 | +$20 | +7% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $11,204 | −$9,097 | -81% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 23 | $1,403 | −$1,097 | -78% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $150 | +$280 | +187% |