Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5578…4ccb
crypto · 1197 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$956 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$956 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$956
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses797 / 400
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1197 / 1197
History coverage574d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 0 History 1197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days−$4
30 days−$269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$335
other 9% −$213
economics 2% −$495
weather 1% −$19
politics 1% $0
world 0% +$107
sports 0% +$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +0.1% -9.4% 71% 70% -6.4%
≤30d 765 -3.9% -13.0% 68% 63% -15.2%
≤90d 1031 -4.6% -13.7% 68% 63% -10.3%
all 1197 -6.6% -15.5% 67% 58% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 58% -12.2%
10% -23.5% 43% -20.6%
15% -30.9% 24% -28.3%
20% -37.7% 12% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2901 history records