Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x556b…5e9d
other · 16 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -61%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$48
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)10 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 6 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$48
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 87% −$49
crypto 13% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 22h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 22h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 22h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 22h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 22h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 22h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 23h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 23h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 23h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 10 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 10 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 10 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.89 · official $28.89 (match) · 16 history records