Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:39:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
55 0x555e…64d4 crypto 1295 markets active 1h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,018 (+6%) realized +$2,018 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate81%1045W / 250L
Drawdown63%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day99.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$109
7 days+$245
14 days+$333
30 days+$516
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$477
other 1% +$25
sports 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 648 +10.1% -0.4% 80% 21% -8.4%
≤30d 1295 +6.9% -3.3% 81% 22% -8.2%
≤90d 1295 +6.9% -3.3% 81% 22% -8.2%
all 1295 +6.9% -3.3% 81% 22% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 22% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 7% -17.0%
15% -21.0% 3% -25.0%
20% -28.7% 2% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.29 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,018
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1045 / 250
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1295 / 1295
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day99.4
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1295 Trades
no open positions (75 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $148 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $148 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $54 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $45 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$45 +880%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $74 −$34 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $39 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $46 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $18 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records