Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:42:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x555a…d471
crypto · 995 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,525 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,525 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,525
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses768 / 379
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1147 / 995
History coverage9d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day319.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1147 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,621
7 days−$2,714
14 days−$3,525
30 days−$3,525
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$16 -179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$8 -142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$9 -187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$21 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$28 -1389%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$16 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$5 -181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,880
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $46 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $34 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $45 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $44 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $44 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $44 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $43 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $43 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $43 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $42 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $42 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 900 -17.3% -25.2% 78% 6% -13.9%
≤30d 1147 -17.1% -25.0% 67% 9% -14.8%
≤90d 1147 -17.1% -25.0% 67% 9% -14.8%
all 1147 -17.1% -25.0% 67% 9% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover319.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 9% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 5% -22.9%
15% -38.7% 3% -30.4%
20% -44.7% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records