trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 131 | -87.2% | -88.4% | 5% | 5% | -87.7% |
| ≤30d | 158 | -75.4% | -77.7% | 10% | 9% | -73.7% |
| ≤90d | 237 | -52.6% | -57.1% | 21% | 19% | -49.4% |
| all | 242 | -53.6% | -58.0% | 21% | 19% | -50.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -58.0% | 19% | -50.0% |
| 10% | -62.0% | 19% | -54.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -65.7% | 17% | -59.2% |
| 20% | -69.1% | 16% | -63.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? | Yes | 65¢ | 93¢ | $161 | $230 | +$68 (+42%) |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $53 | $19 | −$35 (-65%) |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 58¢ | 42¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Raptors | Jun 15 | $2,500 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) | Jun 15 | $298 | −$298 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Jun 15 | $2,100 | −$2,100 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5 | Jun 15 | $1,145 | −$1,145 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) | Jun 15 | $868 | −$868 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Cavaliers | Jun 15 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks | Jun 15 | $3,840 | −$3,840 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5 | Jun 15 | $531 | −$531 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 15 | $3,301 | −$3,301 | -100% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Jun 15 | $3,900 | −$3,900 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5 | Jun 15 | $2,200 | −$2,200 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 15 | $860 | −$860 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Jun 15 | $2,412 | −$2,412 | -100% |
| Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | Jun 15 | $10,169 | −$10,169 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) | Jun 15 | $6,439 | −$6,439 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $25,000 | −$25,000 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Penguins | Jun 15 | $4,400 | −$4,400 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $165 | −$165 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Lakers | Jun 15 | $1,020 | −$1,020 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Jun 15 | $1,800 | −$1,800 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Jun 15 | $2,573 | −$2,573 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08? | Jun 15 | $1,550 | −$1,550 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Jun 15 | $2,250 | −$2,250 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs | Jun 15 | $2,160 | −$2,160 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Clippers | Jun 15 | $5,840 | −$5,840 | -100% |
| Northeastern Huskies vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 146.5 | Jun 15 | $846 | −$846 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Hawks | Jun 15 | $2,250 | −$2,250 | -100% |
| Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $3,570 | −$3,570 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | Jun 15 | $1,840 | −$1,840 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls | Jun 15 | $1,249 | −$1,249 | -100% |
| O/U 51.5 | Jun 15 | $3,456 | −$3,456 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $2,040 | −$2,040 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Jun 15 | $820 | −$820 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Ohio State | Jun 15 | $36,979 | −$36,979 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Wizards | Jun 15 | $2,640 | −$2,640 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 | Jun 15 | $2,160 | −$2,160 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5 | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Dolphins | Jun 15 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Lightning | Jun 15 | $1,480 | −$1,480 | -100% |
| Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 153.5 | Jun 15 | $2,878 | −$2,878 | -100% |
| UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams | Jun 15 | $216 | −$216 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Jun 15 | $4,340 | −$4,340 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Capitals | Jun 15 | $1,640 | −$1,640 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Senators | Jun 15 | $5,814 | −$5,814 | -100% |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs | Jun 15 | $2,160 | −$2,160 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5 | Jun 15 | $2,820 | −$2,820 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Bruins | Jun 15 | $2,820 | −$2,820 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5 | Jun 15 | $1,740 | −$1,740 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Cowboys | Jun 15 | $3,360 | −$3,360 | -100% |