Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:36:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5542…8602
sports · 283 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses141 / 123
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions19
Markets (closed)264 / 283
History coverage536d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 19 History 264 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$49
14 days+$23
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 78¢ 86¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+10%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 66¢ 57¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-13%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 32¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage INOX Division 51¢ 50¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 30¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 30¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Bahrain (-2.5) Syria 58¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Rune Eaters 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 37¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 66¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 35¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 36¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Cobolli Cobolli 61¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 +$3 +56%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $6 +$3 +54%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $6 +$3 +57%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$4 +101%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$2 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $6 +$6 +101%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $7 +$10 +135%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$2 +64%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $6 +$4 +73%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $5 +$6 +115%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $7 +$5 +81%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6 +$2 +32%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $6 +$4 +58%
Spread: Bahrain (-2.5) Jun 08 $6 −$1 -14%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $6 +$2 +28%
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverev Jun 07 $6 +$2 +40%
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $4 +$2 +43%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual Jun 07 $7 +$1 +19%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$2 +38%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 −$1 -51%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $5 +$2 +30%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 07 $6 +$1 +24%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5 Jun 07 $4 +$1 +39%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$20
other 25% −$21
finance 1% −$2
world 0% +$1
politics 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 66¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $3 1h
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 65¢ $3 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 36¢ $1 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 74¢ $1 3h
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 66¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $2 28h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 71¢ $4 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 15¢ $1 29h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $3 29h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 52¢ $2 29h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 51¢ $3 31h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 31h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 68¢ $3 31h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $3 31h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $3 32h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $3 32h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 43¢ $1 32h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 49¢ $1 32h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $3 32h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 59¢ $1 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 66¢ $3 34h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY No 89¢ $2 34h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 70¢ $3 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $3 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +10.7% +0.1% 70% 70% +6.1%
≤30d 236 -8.2% -17.0% 55% 54% -12.1%
≤90d 241 -6.5% -15.4% 55% 54% -8.3%
all 264 -7.0% -15.8% 53% 50% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 50% -9.5%
10% -23.9% 47% -18.1%
15% -31.3% 35% -26.0%
20% -38.0% 24% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.85 · official $89.79 (match) · 705 history records