Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5537…fdaa
sports · 151 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$492 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$458 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$320
Realized−$458
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses86 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$200
Open positions11
Markets (closed)140 / 151
History coverage8d
Avg bet$124
Trades / day71.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 11 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$835
7 days−$323
14 days−$458
30 days−$458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 81¢ 72¢ $251 $223 −$28 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 89¢ 90¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 86¢ 84¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 92¢ 92¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 78¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $126 +$33 +26%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $560 −$95 -17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $201 −$9 -5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $146 +$53 +36%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $181 +$17 +9%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $161 +$80 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $111 +$29 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $87 −$17 -20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $261 +$24 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $275 +$17 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $100 +$16 +16%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $100 +$13 +13%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $186 −$13 -7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $443 −$203 -46%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $223 −$47 -21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $191 +$66 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $110 −$54 -49%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $510 −$77 -15%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $463 +$80 +17%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3,540 −$627 -18%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $879 +$4 +0%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $115 −$45 -39%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $51 +$1 +1%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $562 +$94 +17%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $20 −$6 -31%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $530 +$16 +3%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $150 +$10 +7%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $282 +$358 +127%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $544 +$40 +7%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $40 +$10 +26%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $50 +$18 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$17 +86%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $200 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $50 +$5 +11%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $607 +$110 +18%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 09 $50 −$15 -30%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 09 $10 +$1 +10%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $131 +$14 +11%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) Jun 09 $16 −$1 -6%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $13 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$484
other 2% +$18
crypto 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $5 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $20 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $10 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 89¢ $20 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 88¢ $190 6m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $15 6m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 89¢ $64 8m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 76¢ $101 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $159 9m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $15 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $16 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $46 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $11 22m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $100 23m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 95¢ $100 23m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 85¢ $105 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 79¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $194 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 92¢ $111 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 66¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 35¢ $73 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 51¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 39¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 43¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $101 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -5.1% -14.2% 62% 43% -11.1%
≤30d 140 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 43% -11.7%
≤90d 140 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 43% -11.7%
all 140 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 43% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 43% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 24% -20.1%
15% -30.1% 12% -27.9%
20% -36.9% 5% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $319.87 · official $319.87 (match) · 639 history records