trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +69.5% | +53.4% | 100% | 100% | +44.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +38.4% | +25.2% | 88% | 88% | +33.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +71.1% | +54.8% | 83% | 83% | +22.8% |
| all | 23 | +33.1% | +20.4% | 74% | 65% | +20.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +20.4% | 65% | +20.4% |
| 10% | +8.9% | 52% | +8.9% |
| 15% | -1.6% | 48% | -1.6% |
| 20% | -11.3% | 39% | -11.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-1.5) | France | 54¢ | 54¢ | $54 | $54 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 49¢ | 54¢ | $49 | $54 | +$4 (+9%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 11¢ | $29 | $23 | −$7 (-23%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $34 | $0 | −$34 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $47 | +$16 | +33% |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 29 | $53 | +$27 | +51% |
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Jun 28 | $58 | +$7 | +13% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $36 | +$64 | +181% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $32 | +$18 | +57% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 15 | $43 | +$5 | +12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 20 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | May 20 | $13 | +$52 | +397% |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | Apr 21 | $2 | +$4 | +194% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? | Apr 10 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Mar 30 | $3 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Valspar Championship? | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will David Lipsky win the 2026 Valspar Championship? | Mar 21 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship? | Mar 21 | $3 | +$4 | +126% |
| Will Doug Ghim win the 2026 Valspar Championship? | Mar 21 | $5 | −$5 | -93% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Mar 19 | $3 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? | Mar 17 | $2 | +$1 | +58% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | Mar 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | Mar 17 | $3 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 15? | Mar 16 | $2 | $0 | +1% |