trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 26 | $1,191 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 26 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $1,161 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 29 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 29 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Ser | May 29 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 27 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 27 | $911 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial e | May 27 | $954 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | May 27 | $903 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | May 26 | $73 | $0 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 26 | $879 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 26 | $918 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | May 26 | $918 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | May 25 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 25 | $907 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 25 | $944 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 25 | $878 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | May 25 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 06 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | Apr 06 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 06 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Apr 03 | $139 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 03 | $67 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 03 | $26 | $0 | -0% |