Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5523…b80e
crypto · 178 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$626 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$626 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$626
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses96 / 80
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions1
Markets (closed)176 / 178
History coverage57d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$28
14 days−$223
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 78¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $80 +$9 +11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $90 +$8 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $23 +$5 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $27 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$3 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$3 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Chan Jun 05 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 04 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 04 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 04 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 04 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 04 $3 +$5 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 04 $20 +$30 +150%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 03 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 03 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +100%
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $10 $0 +5%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 02 $6 +$10 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$77
crypto 46% −$549
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 100¢ $83 9m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 50¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 92¢ $70 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 70¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 60¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 48¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $81 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $22 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $5 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $20 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $2 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $10 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $0 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $16 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $16 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $23 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $35 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $15 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 85¢ $20 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 30¢ $4 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $2 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $1 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 93¢ $23 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 40¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +35.3% +22.4% 86% 57% +1.7%
≤30d 74 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 39% -33.1%
≤90d 176 -5.0% -14.0% 55% 45% -22.2%
all 176 -5.0% -14.0% 55% 45% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 45% -22.2%
10% -22.2% 35% -29.6%
15% -29.8% 32% -36.4%
20% -36.6% 30% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.96 · official $6.96 · 504 history records