Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:45:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x551c…4b0f
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$1
other 35% −$2
sports 7% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +3.0% -6.9% 57% 43% -10.0%
≤30d 7 +3.0% -6.9% 57% 43% -10.0%
≤90d 7 +3.0% -6.9% 57% 43% -10.0%
all 7 +3.0% -6.9% 57% 43% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 43% -10.0%
10% -15.8% 29% -18.6%
15% -23.9% 29% -26.5%
20% -31.4% 14% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.98 · official $2.98 (match) · 13 history records