Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:05:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5510…5cc7
crypto · 350 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$126 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77
Realized−$124
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses147 / 189
Open positions14
Markets (closed)336 / 350
History coverage16d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day48.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 14 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$14
14 days−$119
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $22 $14 −$8 (-38%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes 21¢ 42¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+102%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+42%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+13%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes 17¢ 6¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-62%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 42¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+23%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? Yes 23¢ 11¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-53%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$7 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$153
world 9% +$13
politics 3% +$12
other 2% +$9
finance 1% −$6
tech 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 46% -12.8%
≤30d 336 -16.6% -24.6% 44% 42% -22.2%
≤90d 336 -16.6% -24.6% 44% 42% -22.2%
all 336 -16.6% -24.6% 44% 42% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 42% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 36% -29.6%
15% -38.4% 29% -36.4%
20% -44.4% 22% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77.02 · official $77.04 (match) · 795 history records