trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -39.3% | -45.1% | 48% | 32% | -3.8% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 46% | 32% | -3.4% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 46% | 32% | -3.4% |
| all | 28 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 46% | 32% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.9% | 32% | -3.4% |
| 10% | -51.1% | 18% | -12.7% |
| 15% | -55.8% | 18% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -60.1% | 11% | -28.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $300 | $298 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $212 | +$93 | +44% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $303 | +$158 | +52% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $301 | +$36 | +12% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -73% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $121 | +$26 | +21% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $412 | +$61 | +15% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $310 | +$13 | +4% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $300 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $301 | +$15 | +5% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $231 | +$51 | +22% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $202 | +$115 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |