Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

55
0x5502…4b9a
crypto · 680 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$149 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$145
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses322 / 361
Open positions1
Markets (closed)683 / 680
History coverage3d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day938.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$145
14 days−$145
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 58¢ 68¢ $29 $34 +$4 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 38¢ 32¢ $28 $24 −$4 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $125 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$17 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$14 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$14 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$45 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $143 −$18 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$24 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$32 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$31 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$10 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$32 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$11 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$24 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $17 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $17 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $4 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 683 +1.8% -7.9% 47% 37% -9.9%
≤30d 683 +1.8% -7.9% 47% 37% -9.9%
≤90d 683 +1.8% -7.9% 47% 37% -9.9%
all 683 +1.8% -7.9% 47% 37% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover938.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 37% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 31% -18.5%
15% -24.7% 17% -26.4%
20% -32.1% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.22 · official $56.88 · 3500 history records