Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:58:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54f8…884a
crypto · 1263 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$515 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$515 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$515
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses686 / 577
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1263 / 1263
History coverage101d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$81
14 days−$133
30 days−$432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$16 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$21 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$10 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $211 −$63 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$504
other 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $38 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -16.4% -24.4% 51% 43% -10.3%
≤30d 494 -17.1% -25.0% 46% 41% -12.5%
≤90d 962 -11.3% -19.7% 52% 44% -11.8%
all 1263 -10.5% -19.0% 54% 45% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 45% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 30% -20.4%
15% -33.8% 19% -28.1%
20% -40.3% 11% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records