Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54ea…caa0
crypto · 590 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$41 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses361 / 229
Open positions0
Markets (closed)590 / 590
History coverage54d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 590 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1? No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$36
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -10.0% -18.6% 57% 43% -22.8%
≤30d 91 -11.9% -20.2% 56% 33% -19.3%
≤90d 590 -8.4% -17.1% 61% 40% -13.6%
all 590 -8.4% -17.1% 61% 40% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 40% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 23% -21.9%
15% -32.3% 14% -29.4%
20% -38.9% 7% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1705 history records