Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54e0…b02c
sports · 482 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,948 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,033 · open +$85
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,531
Realized−$6,033
Unrealized+$85
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses198 / 266
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$624
Open positions18
Markets (closed)464 / 482
History coverage10d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day284.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 18 History 464 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,261
7 days−$4,552
14 days−$6,033
30 days−$6,033
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 34¢ 100¢ $242 $708 +$466 (+192%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 8¢ 100¢ $18 $219 +$201 (+1134%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $86 $212 +$126 (+147%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 13¢ 12¢ $237 $204 −$33 (-14%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 37¢ 100¢ $27 $73 +$46 (+170%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $11 $27 +$16 (+153%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 100¢ $7 $17 +$10 (+134%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? No 94¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 41¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$2 (+144%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 47¢ 88¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+88%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 20¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-59%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Hanwha Life Esports 32¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner GenOne 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +188%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$20 -79%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $467 +$524 +112%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,367 −$1,339 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $165 −$165 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$41 +1186%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $16 +$41 +252%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $273 −$273 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $8 +$9 +120%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $56 +$161 +288%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$13 +381%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$3 +250%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $78 −$78 -100%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5) Jun 11 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $171 −$171 -100%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $96 −$96 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$6,000
weather 4% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 2¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $6 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $26 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $3 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 14¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $5 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $3 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $2 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 14¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $25 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 14¢ $7 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $3 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $4 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $25 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $25 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 12¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $27 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $27 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 14¢ $2 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 14¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $3 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 13¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 14¢ $1 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 -11.6% -20.0% 39% 19% -27.6%
≤30d 464 -6.8% -15.7% 43% 21% -26.0%
≤90d 464 -6.8% -15.7% 43% 21% -26.0%
all 464 -6.8% -15.7% 43% 21% -26.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover284.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 21% -26.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 19% -33.1%
15% -31.1% 19% -39.6%
20% -37.9% 18% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,531.22 · official $1,531.23 (match) · 3500 history records