Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:04:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54c3…8822
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$143 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$143 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses25 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day409.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$143
14 days−$143
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$42 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$78 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$23 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$61 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$49 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$20 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$54 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$19 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $145 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$68 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$69 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$42 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $216 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$76 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $115 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$18 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $124 +$54 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$14 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$61 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$15 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$33 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $73 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $94 +$76 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$34 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$143
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $71 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $158 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $21 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $165 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $52 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -15.9% -23.9% 53% 36% -13.9%
≤30d 47 -15.9% -23.9% 53% 36% -13.9%
≤90d 47 -15.9% -23.9% 53% 36% -13.9%
all 47 -15.9% -23.9% 53% 36% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover409.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 36% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.2% 23% -22.1%
15% -37.8% 23% -29.7%
20% -43.9% 15% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 423 history records