Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54bf…f12e
crypto · 502 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$3,177 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,177 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,177
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses254 / 248
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)502 / 502
History coverage63d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 502 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$298
7 days−$298
14 days−$298
30 days−$298
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $446 $0 −$446 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $415 $0 −$415 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 51¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$200 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$31 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$30 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
76ers vs. Celtics May 02 $353 −$350 -99%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 30 $1,297 −$800 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Apr 30 $5 +$3 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 30 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 30 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 30 $5 +$7 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Apr 30 $9 +$4 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 30 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 30 $21 +$17 +81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$2,017
sports 5% −$1,160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $202 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $72 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 51% -34.2%
≤30d 41 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 51% -34.2%
≤90d 502 -5.7% -14.7% 51% 47% -17.7%
all 502 -5.7% -14.7% 51% 47% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 47% -17.7%
10% -22.8% 45% -25.6%
15% -30.3% 42% -32.8%
20% -37.1% 39% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1135 history records