Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54ac…47e6
sports · 182 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$377 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$474 · open −$97
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$287
Realized+$474
Unrealized−$97
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses101 / 91
Est. fees paid−$200
Open positions5
Markets (closed)192 / 182
History coverage18d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day188.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$538
7 days+$538
14 days+$531
30 days+$474
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 23¢ 100¢ $21 $89 +$68 (+332%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 39¢ 100¢ $33 $84 +$51 (+153%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 54¢ 100¢ $34 $62 +$29 (+85%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 80¢ 100¢ $24 $31 +$6 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 73¢ 100¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+36%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 47¢ 0¢ $55 $1 −$54 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 35¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 28¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 26¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Lynn Vision 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 48¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B 3DMAX 48¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Alejandro Moro Canas Alejandro Moro Canas 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner TYLOO 40¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 46¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong No 56¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini Marton Fucsovics 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Vicenza: Luca Castagnola vs Henri Squire Luca Castagnola 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Vicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Giorgio Tabacco Giorgio Tabacco 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B PARIVISION 34¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $53 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$229 +7560%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $38 +$37 +97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 12 $94 +$139 +149%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$229 +334%
Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$146 +844%
Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Jun 12 $171 −$120 -70%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$32 +134%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$6 -42%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $23 −$13 -57%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $97 −$36 -37%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$7 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $106 −$13 -13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$7 -26%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $23 +$7 +30%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $23 −$3 -12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$7 -38%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $110 +$9 +8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$21 -67%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 +$3 +36%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $146 +$51 +35%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $47 +$15 +33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $18 +$2 +13%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $68 −$48 -70%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $12 −$2 -18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 +$4 +27%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $106 −$25 -23%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $54 −$10 -18%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $21 +$10 +45%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 +$4 +22%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $13 −$3 -24%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $13 +$17 +129%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $7 +$3 +52%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 03 $73 +$12 +16%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 03 $8 +$2 +23%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $152 −$30 -20%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $91 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$264
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 23¢ $4 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $4 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $7 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $2 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $2 25m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 85¢ $9 25m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $4 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 51¢ $5 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $6 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $7 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 43¢ $5 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $4 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $6 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $5 36m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $3 36m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $4 37m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 23¢ $3 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $2 45m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $8 51m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 29¢ $3 53m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 13¢ $1 57m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 57¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 31¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 28¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +60.2% +44.9% 45% 36% +10.2%
≤30d 192 +13.8% +3.0% 53% 34% -7.9%
≤90d 192 +13.8% +3.0% 53% 34% -7.9%
all 192 +13.8% +3.0% 53% 34% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover188.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 34% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -6.9% 18% -16.7%
15% -15.9% 8% -24.7%
20% -24.1% 5% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $286.97 · official $286.97 (match) · 3500 history records